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Opposing climate-change impacts on poleward-shifting coral-reef fishes

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Abstract

Poleward expatriation of tropical marine organisms is occurring globally, linked to climate change via strengthening of Western Boundary Currents (WBCs). In summer 2016, there was an unprecedented (in 18 years of monitoring) influx of coral-reef fish juveniles (“vagrants”) in temperate SE Australia. However, a large climate change-linked storm event (“East Coast low”) in June 2016 wiped out large numbers of these fishes over several days, as well as severely altering coastal habitat. Some taxa (e.g. Acanthuridae: surgeonfishes, key habitat modifiers) were decimated with up to 95% loss, while others (e.g. Pomacentridae: damselfishes, under 5% loss) fared better. The storm altered habitat (boulder “barens” were exposed by large-scale removal of macroalgae) with new barrens supporting over fifty times more tropical fish recruits in the following year (2017) than surrounding kelp-dominated areas. Fish were more vulnerable to storm effects in exposed habitats, and some species exhibited size-selective losses. Such climate-related storms can decouple links between poleward fish shifts and more predictable climate effects such as sea temperature rise.

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Acknowledgements

Thanks to fish surveyors, and Graham Pyke plus two anonymous reviewers for their reviews of the manuscript. This project was conducted under UTS Anima Ethics protocol 2012-433 ad NSW DPI Permit F94/696. DJB collected data, with Gigi Beretta, Will Figueira, Luke Brown, James van den Broek, Hayden Beck. DJB designed and executed this study and wrote the manuscript. This research was partly funded by the Australian Research Council.

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Booth, D.J. Opposing climate-change impacts on poleward-shifting coral-reef fishes. Coral Reefs 39, 577–581 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-020-01919-5

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